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Politics & Law

China’s reserve of talented leaders: Hu Chunhua

Hu Chunhua

Hu Chunhua, 49, is regarded as a rising star who may be Xi Jinping’s successor 10 years later.

He is now party boss of Inner Mongolia. When he attended NPC (China’s legislature) meeting last March, he showed his populist side by promising to improve the livelihood of the poor.

Inner Mongolia is now booming with coal mining, but the pollution and disturbance the industry has brought to the peaceful and quiet grassland there has given rise to ethnic conflicts between local Mongolians and Han migrants.

When a truck from a coal mine hit one of the villagers who blocked its way in order to prevent the truck from bringing dust and noise to the grassland, there were mass protests almost everywhere in the region. Hu personally went to the protesters and resolved the issue promptly.

He dismissed the county party boss there and punishing the truck driver and the two others who tried to shield the driver. It showed Hu’s concern for the people and his courage, vigour and ability in dealing with emergency.

Being one of the youngest provincial-level party bosses, Hu is regarded as having the potential to rise to the top.

According to Reuters’ report yesterday, Hu Jintao wanted to promote Hu Chunhua into the Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) but failed.

In my book “Tiananmen’s Tremendous Achievements”, I point out that China’s political system now is the dynasty of a party, the Chinese Communist Party, with a core similar to an emperor and that Jiang Zemin, though retired, remains the core as like Deng Xiaoping before him, he remains dominant without any official title.

In 2007, Hu was unable to choose his successor and had to let Xi Jinping, chosen by Jiang, be his successor despite he had built up his power base for five years. In addition, Hu was only able to promote one of his protégés Li Keqiang into the PSC while Jiang’s Shanghai faction maintained a majority in the PSC.

However, as the key to Jiang Zemin’s art for being an emperor is the discovery and employment of talented people with moral integrity, Hu Chunhua, if indeed talented, may be chosen by Jiang to be Xi’s successor.

Talented people with moral integrity are small in number and difficult to find due to Chinese tradition of honest people being unwilling to join corrupt official circles. I begin my book with the story of Xu You refusing Emperor Yao’s offer of a high official post to make the point.

Besides, Hu Jintao seems to have the best chance to succeed Jiang as the core when Jiang passes away. He will certainly be able to promote Hu Chunhua when he becomes the core. Therefore, both Jiang and Hu may want to promote Hu Chunhua, but they have to test and develop his ability by assigning him the post to run a large municipality such as Shanghai or Chongqing.

Hu is now but the party boss of an autonomous region with a small population. If, as predicted by Reuters, he indeed is appointed the head of Chongqing Municipality and succeeds there, his chance to rise to the top will be greatly enhanced. Anyway, Hu’s performance so far proves his promising potential.

Read the full SCMP report

About chankaiyee2

Author of the book "Tiananmen's Tremendous Achievements" about how with the help of Tiananmen Protests, talented scholars with moral integrity seized power in the Party and state and brought prosperity to China. The second edition of the book will be published within a few days to mark the 25th anniversary of Tiananmen Protests All the parts in the first edition remain in the second edition with a few changes due to information available later and better understanding. There are also some changes for improvements of style. The new parts are Chapters 12-19 on events in China after the first edition was published: The fierce power struggle for succession between reformists and conservatives; Xi Jinping winning all elders’ support during his mysterious disappearance for 2 weeks in early September, 2012; and Xi Jinping Cyclone. Chan Kai Yee's new book: SPACE ERA STRATEGY: The Way China Beats The US An eye-opening book that tells the truth how the US is losing to China. The US is losing as it adopts the outdated strategy of Air-Sea Battle while China adopts the space era strategy to pursue integrated space and air capabilities: It is losing due to its diplomacy that has given rise to Russian-Chinese alliance. US outdated strategy has enabled China to catch up and surpass the US in key weapons: Hypersonic weapons (HGV) that Pentagon regards as the weapon that will dominate the world in the future. Aerospaceplane in China’s development of space-air bomber that can engage enemy anywhere in the world within an hour and destroy an entire aircraft carrier battle group within minutes. Anti-satellite (ASAT) weapons, anti-ASAT weapons, stealth aircrafts, drones, AEW&C, etc. The book gives detailed descriptions of China’s weapon development based on information mainly from Chinese sources that the author monitors closely. U.S. Must Not Be Beaten by China! China is not a democracy. Its political system cannot prevent the emergence of a despotic leader or stop such a leader when he begins to bring disasters to people. A few decades ago, Mao Zedong, the worst tyrant in world history did emerge and bring disasters to Chinese people. He wanted to fight a nuclear war to replace capitalism with communism but could not bring nuclear holocaust to world people as China was too weak and poor at that time. If a despot like Mao Zedong emerges when China has surpassed the US in military strength, world people will suffer the misery experienced by Chinese people in Mao era. China surpassing the US in GDP is not something to worry about as China has the heavy burden to satisfy its huge population, but China surpassing the US in military strength will be world people’s greatest concern if China remains an autocracy. US people are of much better quality than Chinese people. What they lack is a wise leader to adopt the correct strategy and diplomacy and the creative ways to use its resources in developing its military capabilities. I hope that with the emergence of a great leader, the US can put an end to its decline and remain number one in the world. China, US, space era strategy, air-sea battle, space-air bomber, arms race, weapon development, chan kai yee

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