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Politics & Law

Wang Yang’s ascension 90% certain

Wang Yang

SCMP says today in its report titled Guangdong party secretary Wang Yang urges reform in late power grab, “Guangdong’s party secretary Wang Yang has made a fresh call for reform in what analysts are describing as a last-ditch attempt to garner support for his ascension to the top ruling body in the National Party Congress.

“Wang, who is widely seen as one of the party’s leading voices for reform, told party officials in Foshan on Tuesday that the drive for change ‘must never stagnate and never stop’, the Southern Metropolis Daily of Guangzhou said yesterday.

“He was talking mainly about market and administrative reforms needed to improve the economy and the investment environment, but also of the need to defuse social conflict that might otherwise escalate into unrest.”

According to SCMP’s leading theory the number of the Politburo Standing Committee will be cut to seven so that Wang cannot be sure he will be promoted into the Committee. In fact, there has not been an authoritative source to support that theory.

Judging by the fact that various elders including Jiang Zemin, Qiao Shi, and Li Peng, have vied with one another to come out into limelight before the leadership reshuffle, there is intensive jostling between various factions. Even nine seats in the Committee are not enough for them, let alone seven.

According to those who invented the theory, the large number of members makes it difficult to make decisions. We all know that in any organisation, a corporation or committee, however large the number of its members, there is no difficulty to make a decision if some of its members control the majority, otherwise, there may be difficulty even if there are as few as three members.

In the past decade, the 9-member Committee has been able to make its decisions smoothly, because Jiang Zemin’s Shanghai faction controls the majority. If Jiang wants to keep his majority, nine will be better than seven as other factions will have four instead of three to be divided among them.

Honestly, I have no insider information on that issue. Even if I have accurate information about that, I do not dare to reveal as betraying the party’s top secret is a serious crime in China. Those who have divulged the information to me will be in great trouble if I am so careless as to reveal it.

I believe Wang Yang’s chance of ascension to the top is very great, as reformers have gained ground after Bo Xilai’s downfall. Wang need not make a useless last-minute effort by giving a speech on reform in a non-important city published by a local instead of a paper that is the party’s mouthpiece.

We all know that the candidates to the Committee are decided internally (neiding in Chinese) based on performance and relationship with those who have the power to make the internal decisions. Last-minute change, if any, can only be effected through heavy lobbying. Wang certainly knows giving a speech in Foshan is entirely useless for that purpose.

However, he knows that if he is able to make great achievements through his reform, he will make great contribution in promoting China’s reform.

About chankaiyee2

Author of the book "Tiananmen's Tremendous Achievements" about how with the help of Tiananmen Protests, talented scholars with moral integrity seized power in the Party and state and brought prosperity to China. The second edition of the book will be published within a few days to mark the 25th anniversary of Tiananmen Protests All the parts in the first edition remain in the second edition with a few changes due to information available later and better understanding. There are also some changes for improvements of style. The new parts are Chapters 12-19 on events in China after the first edition was published: The fierce power struggle for succession between reformists and conservatives; Xi Jinping winning all elders’ support during his mysterious disappearance for 2 weeks in early September, 2012; and Xi Jinping Cyclone. Chan Kai Yee's new book: SPACE ERA STRATEGY: The Way China Beats The US An eye-opening book that tells the truth how the US is losing to China. The US is losing as it adopts the outdated strategy of Air-Sea Battle while China adopts the space era strategy to pursue integrated space and air capabilities: It is losing due to its diplomacy that has given rise to Russian-Chinese alliance. US outdated strategy has enabled China to catch up and surpass the US in key weapons: Hypersonic weapons (HGV) that Pentagon regards as the weapon that will dominate the world in the future. Aerospaceplane in China’s development of space-air bomber that can engage enemy anywhere in the world within an hour and destroy an entire aircraft carrier battle group within minutes. Anti-satellite (ASAT) weapons, anti-ASAT weapons, stealth aircrafts, drones, AEW&C, etc. The book gives detailed descriptions of China’s weapon development based on information mainly from Chinese sources that the author monitors closely. U.S. Must Not Be Beaten by China! China is not a democracy. Its political system cannot prevent the emergence of a despotic leader or stop such a leader when he begins to bring disasters to people. A few decades ago, Mao Zedong, the worst tyrant in world history did emerge and bring disasters to Chinese people. He wanted to fight a nuclear war to replace capitalism with communism but could not bring nuclear holocaust to world people as China was too weak and poor at that time. If a despot like Mao Zedong emerges when China has surpassed the US in military strength, world people will suffer the misery experienced by Chinese people in Mao era. China surpassing the US in GDP is not something to worry about as China has the heavy burden to satisfy its huge population, but China surpassing the US in military strength will be world people’s greatest concern if China remains an autocracy. US people are of much better quality than Chinese people. What they lack is a wise leader to adopt the correct strategy and diplomacy and the creative ways to use its resources in developing its military capabilities. I hope that with the emergence of a great leader, the US can put an end to its decline and remain number one in the world. China, US, space era strategy, air-sea battle, space-air bomber, arms race, weapon development, chan kai yee

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