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GDP

This tag is associated with 8 posts

Cadence Column: Asia, February 27, 2017


Americans love flags. The over-sized flag, the “Star Spangled Banner”, was a strategic tool of Fort McHenry at the Battle of Baltimore and the US national anthem itself is named after the flag. If the United States ever truly intended to communicate that it believes Beijing seats the rightful government over the island of Taiwan, … Continue reading

China didn’t really pass the U.S. economically


By at least one measure, China has a larger economy than the United States. But that matters less than you might think. The news is abuzz with what seems like earth shattering news: The International Monetary Fund reports that in 2014, China, not the United States, has the world’s largest economy. Sound the alarms, a … Continue reading

China’s exports gain steam but imports fall, signalling weaker domestic demand


China‘s exports gained steam in May thanks to firmer global demand, data showed on Sunday, but an unexpected fall in imports signaled weaker domestic demand that could continue to weigh on the world’s second-largest economy. Exports rose 7 percent in May from a year earlier, quickening from April’s 0.9 percent rise, while imports fell 1.6 … Continue reading

China heading for unprecented credit bubble implosion


China’s shadow banking system is out of control and under mounting stress as borrowers struggle to roll over short-term debts, Fitch Ratings has warned. The agency said the scale of credit was so extreme that the country would find it very hard to grow its way out of the excesses as in past episodes, implying … Continue reading

Australia warned of double whammy in China’s pending debt crisis


A major Asian investment bank says the seeds of a future financial crisis in China have been sown. Nomura is warning that debt levels in China are teetering at unsustainable levels. Debt in China is believed to be between 150 and 200 per cent of GDP, pushed up by easy monetary policy the government has … Continue reading

The danger of Chinese overproduction


Coal, iron ore, steel, cotton, clothing, heavy equipment, ship-building, solar cells, LEDs, and property. All of these commodities at one point or another in the last year have been a hot topic due to overstocks caused by government-influenced overproduction. Falling prices and decreased global demand have crippled many participants in these industries, and many bankruptcies … Continue reading

Hu Jintao starts the XVIII Congress of the Communist Party of China; view from Poland


In a speech opening the XVIII Congress of the Communist Party of China (CPC) President Hu Jintao described the main directions of modernisation of the country, to which he included the development of economic, political, social, cultural and environmental. Hu pointed out that they still must follow the path initiated by Deng Xiaoping. Over the … Continue reading

Bank of America is bullish on China


Merrill Lynch‘s China economist Ting Lu just published a big bullish 11-page report in which he cranked up his GDP estimates citing “across-the-board green shoots. “Here’s a summary of his revisions: 4Q12 year-over-year GDP growth to 7.8% from 7.5% 2012 annual GDP growth to 7.7% from 7.6% 2013 annual GDP growth to 8.1% from 7.6%, … Continue reading

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